Back by popular demand, I'm doing a Winners blog post. It's been an up-and-down season so far, so let's get back on the right track.
Washington -3.5 @ Miami
According to ESPN's Football Power Index, this game hast he lowest matchup quality in the history of football. So of course, I'm going to bet on it. The Redskins are bad. Really bad. But they're not trying to be bad, which means they'll try to beat Miami. With a new coach and some desire to leave the Jay Gruden era behind them, I think the Redskins will play hard and cover this line.
The Pick: Washington -3.5
Houston +4 @ Kansas City
Deshaun Watson is coming off a career game, while Patrick Mahomes has looked mortal the past two weeks. It would be easy to jump on the Houston wagon here, but I won't do that. Arrowhead is a brutal place to play, and Tyreek Hill will return to the lineup for the Chiefs. I like Kansas City to get back on track and win this one by a touchdown.
The Pick: Kansas City -4
San Francisco +3.5 @ LA Rams
I don't get this line at all. The 49ers are a better team than the Rams. There's no way they should be catching more than 3, especially with the Rams' weak home field advantage. 3 and the hook is an easy choice for a game I think the 49ers will win outright.
The Pick: San Francisco -3.5
Dallas -7 @ NY Jets
The Cowboys are coming off back-to-back losses, so playing the Jets feels like a get-right game. However, the Jets play tough defense and Sam Darnold returns to the fray for the Jersey/B Jets, so this will be a tougher game than most think for Dallas. I think they'll win, but I'll grab the touchdown and take my chances with New York.
The Pick: Jets +7
Atlanta -2.5 @ Arizona
The 1-4 Falcons are road favorites against a team with a better record. What a world we live in. While I think the Falcons are probably better than the Cardinals, I have zero interest in laying points behind them. I'll ride the rookie QB and coach to keep this one close.
The Pick: Arizona +2.5
Week 5 Results: 1-4 (-3.09 units)
Season Results: 13-12 (-0.18 units)
Washington -3.5 @ Miami
According to ESPN's Football Power Index, this game hast he lowest matchup quality in the history of football. So of course, I'm going to bet on it. The Redskins are bad. Really bad. But they're not trying to be bad, which means they'll try to beat Miami. With a new coach and some desire to leave the Jay Gruden era behind them, I think the Redskins will play hard and cover this line.
The Pick: Washington -3.5
Houston +4 @ Kansas City
Deshaun Watson is coming off a career game, while Patrick Mahomes has looked mortal the past two weeks. It would be easy to jump on the Houston wagon here, but I won't do that. Arrowhead is a brutal place to play, and Tyreek Hill will return to the lineup for the Chiefs. I like Kansas City to get back on track and win this one by a touchdown.
The Pick: Kansas City -4
San Francisco +3.5 @ LA Rams
I don't get this line at all. The 49ers are a better team than the Rams. There's no way they should be catching more than 3, especially with the Rams' weak home field advantage. 3 and the hook is an easy choice for a game I think the 49ers will win outright.
The Pick: San Francisco -3.5
Dallas -7 @ NY Jets
The Cowboys are coming off back-to-back losses, so playing the Jets feels like a get-right game. However, the Jets play tough defense and Sam Darnold returns to the fray for the Jersey/B Jets, so this will be a tougher game than most think for Dallas. I think they'll win, but I'll grab the touchdown and take my chances with New York.
The Pick: Jets +7
Atlanta -2.5 @ Arizona
The 1-4 Falcons are road favorites against a team with a better record. What a world we live in. While I think the Falcons are probably better than the Cardinals, I have zero interest in laying points behind them. I'll ride the rookie QB and coach to keep this one close.
The Pick: Arizona +2.5
Week 5 Results: 1-4 (-3.09 units)
Season Results: 13-12 (-0.18 units)